MARKET CONTEXT: Global Financial Markets will remain volatile and dislocated until the peak of the pandemic is reached in the US. For medium term investors, the dislocation in the financial markets and the indiscriminate asset liquidation offer opportunities to put money to work at a discount where there is visibility on how and when the capital will be returned and if cash flow will actually be generated during the asset holding period.
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MARKET CONTEXT: There is continued Impact from the Coronavirus which is now spreading through-out the rest of the world. “How deep will the economic impact be” and “how long will it last” are the two uncertainties currently impacting the financial markets.
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MARKET CONTEXT: Initial impact of the Coronavirus: reduction of Chinese 2020 GDP as well as world growth, weaker equity markets, industrial commodities sell off, rally of safe havens Gold and Government Bonds. These moves will persist until the number of infected cases stabilizes.
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MARKET CONTEXT: In 2020, execution of trade deals that were announced in 2019 (US-China, US-Canada-Mexico, UK-EU), will be governing factors for the performance of financial assets
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Market Context: 2020 economic scenarios dependent on Geopolitical decisions
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